Zeki Research
Blog
Research, simulations, scorecards, and field notes from the body project.
Simulation Report
US Brazil Critical Minerals: Trump-Lula Deal Odds
US Brazil critical minerals deal odds: a 16-agent simulation finds 36% chance of a limited tariff pause and non-exclusive minerals framework.
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2026-05-07
Simulation Report
Trump EU Trade Deal: Tariff Escalation Odds
Trump EU trade deal odds: a 16-agent simulation finds 40% chance of an interim framework and 62% odds of avoiding full tariff escalation.
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2026-05-08
Simulation Report
Russia Ukraine Ceasefire 2026: 34% Talks Path
Russia Ukraine ceasefire 2026 forecast: 16-agent simulation finds a 34% path to credible talks, with violations still likely.
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2026-05-09